UK weather warms to 22C in six counties as 100km heat band sweeps in

By Benjamin Harrison

A large band of southern England is set to see a brief warm spell later this month, with weather-model maps showing temperatures reaching as high as 22C in places by Friday evening, May 22. That short-lived rise could change plans for outdoor events and signals a temporary shift toward milder conditions across parts of the country.

Forecast graphics published by WXCharts, which use data supplied by MetDesk, highlight six counties where the thermometer may climb highest: West Sussex, East Sussex, Surrey, Kent, London and Essex. The warmest readings are expected away from exposed coasts, in sheltered inland pockets.

Area Expected peak (approx.)
West Sussex, East Sussex Up to 22C
Surrey, London Around 20–22C
Kent (eastern parts), Thames Estuary Up to 22C in sheltered spots
Essex, Suffolk (border areas) Low 20s inland, cooler on the coast
Rest of southern England & south Wales Upper teens
Midlands Late teens
Northern Wales, northern England, Scotland About 13–17C
Northern Ireland Possibly near 18C in places

The maps show a roughly 100km-wide warm corridor across southern counties, with the most pronounced heating in protected inland hollows rather than exposed shoreline. Local geography will therefore determine whether any individual town sees the top figures or stays noticeably cooler.

  • Outdoor plans: the warmer, drier pockets could make a difference for short-notice events and recreation later in the week.
  • Temperature contrasts: expect a clear inland–coast split; sea breezes are likely to keep coastal areas several degrees cooler.
  • Forecast confidence: model guidance points to a temporary improvement but not a guaranteed prolonged heat spell.

That caveat comes from the Met Office, whose extended outlook for the period from Thursday, May 14 to Saturday, May 23 describes an initially “changeable” phase with spells of rain and some heavier showers. The agency says pressure may rise from the southwest toward the end of that window, increasing the chance of drier conditions locally.

For the following fortnight, through to Sunday, June 7, the Met Office expects a greater tendency for more settled patterns compared with earlier in the month. Temperatures are forecast to recover to around seasonal averages and “perhaps become warm at times,” while early June is likely to bring more mixed conditions with both showers and drier interludes.

Weather charts give an early indication of what to expect, but short-range forecasts will refine the picture as the dates approach. Keep an eye on updates from national and local services if you are planning events or travel over the next two weeks.

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